The College Stress Test: Tracking Institutional Futures Across a Crowded Market
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In The College Stress Test, Robert Zemsky, Susan Shaman, and Susan Campbell Baldridge present readers with a full, frank, and informed discussion about college and university closures. Drawing on the massive institutional data set available from IPEDS (the Integrated Postsecondary Education Data System), they build a stress test for estimating the market viability of more than 2,800 undergraduate institutions. They examine four key variables--new student enrollments, net cash price, student retention, and major external funding--to gauge whether an institution is likely to consider closing or merging with another school. They also assess student body demographics to see which students are commonly served by institutions experiencing market stress. The book's appendix includes a powerful do-it-yourself tool that institutions can apply, using their own IPEDS data, to understand their level of risk.The book's underlying statistical analysis makes clear that closings will not be nearly
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